Eagles shot down in the air
The Eagles have shown each year that they can compete with anyone in the NFC. However, has any NFC team shown any light since the powerhouse offense of the 1999-2000 Rams and tenacious defense of the 2002-2003 Bucs? The answer is no. The Eagles have capitalized on this by winning the worst division in football four times in a row. Their regular season record of the last four years is 49-15 www.nfl.com. At face value this is quite impressive, but as we all know, stats do not always hold the truth. The truth is that the Eagles can compete with any NFC team. But when its crunch time and they have to play a powerhouse team like the Steelers, they fold their hand. The Eagles "dominant offense and defense" met a real team in the Steelers and lost 27-3. http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/schedule.
Terrell Owens, the Eagles best wide reciever, severely hurt his ankle 6 weeks ago. He is planning to make a comeback from his surgery and play in the Superbowl http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs04/news/story?id=1980541. But either way, the Eagles are going up against a dominant AFC team. The Patriots have shown their dominance in the last four years by going to the Superbowl three out of four times. We all now what happens when the Eagles face a real team. In spite of all this, I am proud of the Eagles for not making NFL history again and losing their fourth NFC championship. I'm glad that they made it over their own hump. Will Owen's alleged return benefit the Eagles? Will the Eagles pull a miraculous upset? Time will tell. My money is certainly on the Patriots to cover the seven point spread.
posted by Anonymous at
7:50 AM
1 Comments:
There could be some interesting discussion about probabilities here. The probability of Patriots winning is about 52% and the Eagles about 48% (by converting the money to probability at http://www.covers.com/sportsbetting/money_lines.aspx?logReady=1).
There are issues of subjective vs. objective probabilities and that the game is played once, and not repeated a hundred or more times.
Also, I wonder how much being a good team means. The Eagles have been very good for a few years now, while the Panthers last year kind of came out nowhere. I don't know much about basketball, so I don't know if the Pistons were a surprise team or not. This is the sort of thing that would require a bit of study since cases that prove and disprove the point come to mind.
By
John Topoleski, at 12:09 PM
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